Parametric Distribution’s Scrutiny over the Exchange Rate of Bitcoin

Abstract

Purpose: The research aims to analyze the log-returns of Bitcoin exchange rates against the US Dollar and Chinese Yuan by applying parametric distributions for understanding behavior and suggesting a best-fitted distribution.

Design/Methodology/Approach: Methodology involves the volatility risk analysis using the GARCH model for analyzing the behavior of Bitcoin Exchange rates of USD and CNY.

Findings: The results showed that the Weibull distribution gives the best fit to both of the currencies’ exchange rates

Implications/Originality/Value: The exchange rates of Bitcoin analyzed in this study in midst of myriad other cryptocurrencies using parametric distributions thereby encouraging the application of nonparametric and semiparametric distributions in similar scenarios. The application of this study would enable not only individual investors but also institutional investors and venture capital firms to stay informed of alternating trends and movements through distributions for predicting future returns.